Recursive-dynamic multi-regional CGE modelling

Assignments

The aims of the assignments are:

• to deepen the understanding for CGE modelling by in-depth reading of selected scientific papers related to a specific aspect of CGE modeling
• to share the gained knowledge with the other students
• to foster presentation skills, especially for teaching purposes
• to share responsability for teaching and the success of the course with the instructors

General rules for pre-presence assigments

Each student will be randomly assigned to the preparation of one of the presentations below.

Please consider:

• The aim of your presentation is to inform your fellow students on the specific theme so that they are able to critically analyse model outcomes.
• Prepare a 20 minutes presentation using the provided slide template. Please train the presentation at home to make sure that you stick to the 20 minutes.
• The slides will be presented on a specific day as indicated in the course program.
• Please think about possible questions beforehand which might be asked after your presentation and prepare for them.
• Study the given starting reference(s) carefully in order to prepare your slides.
• Add, where appropriate, additional references (all references should be listed on the last slide and the PDFs have to be shared with us).
• Share the slides with us one week (!) before the presence part. Failing to provide an acceptable set of slides on time will mean that we can't grant you a certificate for the course.

Individual assigments

Day 1: The Solow-Growth model and baseline construction with CGE models

Stud 1: The Solow-Growth model in CGE modelling

• Van der Mensbrugghe, D. (2013). Modeling the global economy–Forward-looking scenarios for agriculture. In Handbook of computable general equilibrium modeling (Vol. 1, pp. 933-994). Elsevier.

• Whelan, K., & McQuinn, K. (2007). Solow (1956) as a model of cross-country growth dynamics. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, (Vol 23.1, pp. 45–62)

Stud 2: Endogenous macro-saving rates and capital accumulation

• Britz, W., & Roson, R. (2019). G-RDEM: A GTAP-based recursive dynamic CGE model for long-term baseline generation and analysis. Journal of Global Economic Analysis, 4(1), 50-96

Stud 3: Debt accumulation from foreign savings

• Chapter on debt accumulation from foreign saving in the CGEBox documentation
• Gretton, P. (2019). Introducing more flexible modelling of regional household consumption and saving behaviour into the dynamic GTAP model

Day 2: Demand side drivers of structural change

Stud 4: Engel curves as demand side drivers of structural change: the AIDADS demand system

• Ho, M., Britz, W., Delzeit, R., Leblanc, F., Roson, R., Schuenemann, F., & Weitzel, M. (2020). Modelling consumption and constructing long-term baselines in final demand. Journal of Global Economic Analysis, 5(1), 63-108
• Britz, W. (2021). Estimating a global MAIDADS demand system considering demography, climate and norms. Bio-based and Applied Economics, 10(3), 219-238

Stud 5: Income dependent changes in the composition of government and investment demand

• Britz, W., & Roson, R. (2019). G-RDEM: A GTAP-based recursive dynamic CGE model for long-term baseline generation and analysis. Journal of Global Economic Analysis, 4(1), 50-96
• Piazolo, D. (1998). Investment behavior in dynamic computable general equilibrium models for transition economies, Kiel Working Paper No. 879

Day 3: Supply side drivers of structural change

Stud 7: Differentiated productivity growth

• Roson, R. (2019). Sectoral Differences in Labor Productivity Growth: Estimation and Modeling. Research in Applied Economics, 11(1), 1-8
• Roson, R., & Britz, W. (2021). Simulating long run structural change with a dynamic general equilibrium model. International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, 11(4), 368-405

Stud 8: Productivity differences across European NUTS2 Regions

• Britz, W., Roson, R., & Sartori, M. (2019). SSP long run scenarios for European NUTS2 regions. University Ca'Foscari of Venice, Dept. of Economics Research Paper Series No, 22
• Chapter on NUTS2 in the CGEBox documentation

Stud 9: Income dependent IO-Coefficients

• Britz, W., & Roson, R. (2019). G-RDEM: A GTAP-based recursive dynamic CGE model for long-term baseline generation and analysis. Journal of Global Economic Analysis, 4(1), 50-96
• Chapter on income dependent IO-coefficients in the CGEBox documentation

Day 4: The Socio-Economic Pathways and sustainability indicators

Stud 10: The Socio-Economic Pathways

• Riahi, K., Van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., ... & Tavoni, M. (2017). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global environmental change, 42, 153-168

Stud 11: The SSP related macro-projections

• Dellink, R., Chateau, J., Lanzi, E., & Magné, B. (2017). Long-term economic growth projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Global Environmental Change, 42, 200-214
• Dellink, R., Atarody, L., Bibas, R., Fouré, J., & Lanzi, E. (2022). Updating the economic drivers in the SSPs

Stud 12: The Sustainable Development Goals and related indicator framework in CGE analysis

• Wilts, R., & Britz, W. (2024). Distribution matters: Long-term quantification of the Sustainable Development Goals with household detail for different socio-economic pathways. Global Transitions, 6, 173-186

• Philippidis, G., Shutes, L., M’Barek, R., Ronzon, T., Tabeau, A., & Van Meijl, H. (2020). Snakes and ladders: World development pathways’ synergies and trade-offs through the lens of the Sustainable Development Goals. Journal of cleaner production, 267, 122147

Day 5: Beyond CGEBox

Stud 13: An overview on the MANAGE-WB Model

• MANAGE-WB Documentation

Stud 14: Capital vintages in MANAGE-WB

• MANAGE-WB Documentation

Stud 15: Government debt dynamics

• MANAGE-WB Documentation