Generate Baseline

A work step in the CAPRI work flow. Generation of results only allowed for administrators. The work step comprises the following tasks:

See also:

CAPTRD, CAPRI documentation, PDF
Exogenous projections (The reference run), PDF

Purpose

Builds the baseline or reference run, i.e. a mutual consistent sets of results which define the most probable future state under current law, i.e. taken current and decided upon policy changes into account. The baseline is used as the comparison point for counterfactual scenarios.

Tasks

The work step comprises the following tasks:

(A) Generate expost results

Will call CAPMOD for the base year with the policy for the baseline in the base year. The model should return on its own to the base year results from CAPREG on the supply side, and should also return to the prices and quantities in the international data base from baseline calibration

See also:CAPMOD, CAPRI documentation, PDF

(B) Generate policy shifts

Will start CAPMOD in the base year with the policy from the baseline for the simulation year. Thus simulates the effect of the future policy in the base year. Used as input for "Generate trend projection".

(C) Generate trend projection

Projects data at the Member State and regional level. Used as input for "Baseline calibration". The aim of the projection is to generate the most probable future state under current law, i.e. taken current and decided upon policy changes into account.

See also:CAPTRD, CAPRI documentation, PDF

(D) Baseline calibration

Calibrates the supply and market model to the results of the projection.

See also:Baseline Calibration, CAPRI documentation, PDF

(E) HSMU baseline

Downscales the regional results from "Baseline calibration" to 1x1 km grid cells.

See also: Spatial downscaling on the CAPRI web page